Moving Averages & Bollinger Bands
Moving averages (MAs) are a very popular tool used by most forex traders. They are a lagging indicator of the price action. Using moving averages short and long term trends are easier to identify.
Moving averages are calculated on the users specifications and can be formatted to different style of trading and time frames. For example, if you use a 90 time frame moving average, the prices of the last 90 times frames is added together and divided by 90.
A moving average can be calculated based on the high, low, opening or closing price within a time frame. Since the closing price is the most important price, most traders prefer to use the closing price in calculating MAs. There are three types of moving averages. First one is the Simple MA. The second is Weighted MA. The third is the exponential MA.
The simple moving average as the name suggests is simply calculated by dividing the price in each time frame by the number of time frames. A weighted moving average gives more weight to the current prices as compared to the prices in the last few time frames. In an exponentially smoothed moving average, the chart is calculated gradually with less emphasis on the prices in the latter time frames. Exponential moving averages are smoother as compared to the simple.
Another important technical indicator is the Bollinger Bands. What are Bollinger Bands? These are bands plotted at a standard deviation above and below a moving average. The base of a band is moving average. The bands width is determined by volatility. The standard deviation is a measure of volatility so the bands are self adjusting. They widen during volatile markets and contract during less volatile periods. Bollinger bands bracket almost 90% of the market action.
Bollinger bands have many useful characteristics. Knowing when the prices are high and low, a trader can make rational investment decisions by comparing price action with the action of other indicators. They are curves drawn in and around the price structure. This provides relative definitions of high and low.
Bollinger bands can be applied to mutual funds, forex trading, futures, indices and most other types of trading. Sharp price action tends to occur as the bands tighten and as volatility lessens. A continuation of current trend is implied when the price moves outside the bands.
A move that originates at one band tends to go all the way to the other band. When bottoms and tops made outside the bands are followed by bottoms and tops made inside the bands, reversal of the trend is strongly expected.
The 10% price action outside the bands is most likely going to approximate areas where prices will return to within the bands. When the bands are flat and narrow, this indicates that price volatility is lower than in previous time periods.
When the bands begin to flare, this indicates increased volatility and start of a new strong directional or trend move. Wide bands are an indication of a very strong move.
Mr. Ahmad Hassam is a Harvard University Graduate. He is interested in day trading and swing trading stocks and currencies. Try Strignano's Forex Signals free for two weeks and see the difference. Discover A Revolutionary Forex Robot Trading System!
Click Here Now To Learn How Trading Really Works With Our Easy To Understand Price Action Video System !
1 comments:
Hey Everybody,
Below is a list of the most recommended forex brokers:
1. Best Forex Broker
2. eToro - $50 min. deposit.
Here is a list of money making forex instruments:
1. ForexTrendy - Recommended Probability Software.
2. EA Builder - Custom Strategies Autotrading.
3. Fast FX Profit - Secret Forex Strategy.
I hope you find these lists helpful...
Post a Comment